2018 Rankings - March

by The Commish on Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Every month we rank the top 75 movies by season.  The box office year is a moving target, so make sure to read this column every month to find out how your movies rank, and what movies you should be targeting on the waiver wire.

Winter/Spring
1. (1) Black Panther – the leading movie for 2018, congrats to all who drafted it early
2. (-) Avengers 3 – with the move to April, the two biggest movies will come out in the first third of the year
3. (2) Ready Player One – we’ve lowered our expectations, but it should still finish in third spot.
4. (7) Peter Rabbit – this bunny kept going and going
5. (5) Fifty Shades Freed
6. (4) Rampage – The Avengers move hurts Rampage
7. (3) A Wrinkle in Time – as we previously said, Tomorrowland 2
8. (14) A Quiet Place – all the rage after SXSW
9. (9) Insidious 4
10. (8) Tomb Raider – just didn’t find an audience
11. (13) Game Night – ended up with an excellent multiplier
12. (12) Blockers – we’re sticking with it’s either this or GN for the comedy crown for Spring
13. (11) Maze Runner 3
14. (10) Pacific Rim 2 – not sure if the audience will be there
15. (-) I Feel Pretty – Amy Schumer’s latest should score some decent laughs
16. (16) Sherlock Gnomes – a new Gnomes movie is just what we need
17. (6) Red Sparrow – second bomb in a row for Katniss!
18. (17) 12 Strong
19. (18) Den of Thieves
20. (21) Truth or Dare – still looking like it might surprise
21. (-) Paul, Apostle of Jesus
22. (15) Paddington 2

23. (23) Acrimony
24. (-) Overboard – the remake looks super
25. (24) The Commuter
Dropping out: The 15:17 to Paris (not enough); Annihilation (just outside); Death Wish (ditto); Love Simon (unfortunately, not enough)

Summer
1. (2) Jurassic World – there’s a new projected number 1 for summer
2. (4) Incredibles 2 – going out on a limb and predicting it to finish ahead of Solo
3. (3) Solo
4. (5) Deadpool 2 – part of the reason Avengers moved
5. (6) Ant Man 2
6. (7) Mission Impossible 6 – looks really good
7. (8) Hotel Transylvania 3 – the new trailer makes me very excited
8. (9) Skyscraper – Die Hard for a new generation
9. (10) Ocean’s 8
10. (11) Mamma Mia 2
11. (14) Equalizer 2
12. (23) Tag – the trailer is excellent
13. (17) Christopher Robin – nothing is assured
14. (20) The Hustle – could be THE surprise of the summer
15. (16) Purge 4 – looks more relevant than ever
16. (18) Teen Titans
17. (21) Life of the Party
18. (19) The Spy Who Dumped Me
19. (-) Mile 22 – Mark Wahlberg in the summer, yes please
20. (22) Uncle Drew – the trailer is great
21. (24) The Meg
22. (-) Book Club – these ensemble movies could surprise
23. (-) Slenderman
24. (-) Crazy Rich Asian – late summer comedy gold?
25. (-) Happytime Murders – I can’t quit you guys
Dropping Out: Avengers 3 (moved to April); Alita (moved to December); The Nun (moved to September); The Predator (moved to September)

Fall
1. (1) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2 – keeping it here
2. (2) Wreck it Ralph – ditto
3. (3) Aquaman
4. (4) Mary Poppins Returns – trailer looks super
5. (5) X-Men: Dark Phoenix
6. (6) Venom
7. (7) Grinch – the trailer is amazing
8. (9) Nutcracker
9. (8) Bumblebee
10. (10) Mortal Engines
11. (-) Alita – the Summer’s loss is the Fall’s gain
12. (11) Holmes & Watson – the move to Christmas won’t hurt its box office
13. (12) Smallfoot
14. (14) Into the Spider-Man Universe
15. (-) The Predator
16. (13) Creed 2

17. (15) Night School
18. (-) The Nun – has a huge chance at finishing in the top 15 for the Fall
19. (16) Robin Hood
20. (22) Overlord – being brought into the Cloverfield universe (?) helps
21. (17) Mowgli  
22. (19) House with Clocks on the Wall
23. (20) First Man
24. (18) A Star is Born
25. (21) The Women of Marwen
3. (-) Bad Times at the El Royale
– love the cast  
24. (19) Goosebumps 2
25. (-) Halloween – lots of horror competition, but it has the pedigree  
Dropping Out: Bad Times at the El Royale (not enough room at the inn); Goosebumps (no Jack Black?) Halloween (just not sure)