2018 Rankings - February

by The Commish on Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Every month we rank the top 75 movies by season.  The box office year is a moving target, so make sure to read this column every month to find out how your movies rank, and what movies you should be targeting on the waiver wire.

Winter/Spring
1. (1) Black Panther – tracking is exceeding all expectations, destined for $400 million?
2. (2) Ready Player One – hoping for $300 million, expecting $190.
3. (3) A Wrinkle in Time – the buzz is there, it’s just not growing
4. (5) Rampage – the Rock is hot
5. (7) Fifty Shades Freed – is there a chance we only have 4 movies making more than $100 million this Spring?
6. (8) Red Sparrow
7. (6) Peter Rabbit – reviews have not been kind
8. (9) Tomb Raider – not sure we needed a reboot and the competition in March is very strong
9. (24) Insidious 4 – turned into a great find for Flickamo players
10. (10) Pacific Rim 2
11. (14) Maze Runner 3 – came in right at our prediction
12. (13) Blockers – it’s either Blockers or GN for the comedy crown for Spring
13. (19) Game Night
14. (-) A Quiet Place – the Super Bowl spot really helped, looks legit scary
15. (16) Sherlock Gnomes
16. (18) 12 Strong – will finish in the top 70 for the year, I guess that’s something
17. (15) 15:37 to Paris
18. (-) Den of Thieves – quietly keeping pace with 12 Strong
19. (12) Paddington 2 – a disappointment
20. (21) Annihilation – looks great, but I’m a little worried about the Netflix connection
21. (-) Truth or Dare – looks great, looks like Happy Death Day
22. (22) Death Wish
23. (23) Acrimony

24. (-) The Commuter
25. (-) Love, Simon
Dropping out: New Mutants (moved to 2019); Cloverfield (not being release); Proud Mary (underperforming); Strangers 2 (still might make the cut); Winchester (a dud)

Summer
1. (1) Avengers 3 – I actually think the race for number 1 in the summer is far from over
2. (2) Jurassic World – wouldn’t be surprised if it ended as number 1 for the year
3. (3) Solo – the trailer was unimpressive, Star Wars we may have a problem
4. (4) Incredibles 2 – would love to see a trailer
5. (5) Deadpool 2 – it’s a marketing gem, but who the heck knows
6. (6) Ant Man 2 – not impressed with the trailer
7. (7) Mission Impossible 6 – very impressed with the trailer
8. (9) Hotel Transylvania 3 – could be one of those movies that keeps making money into September
9. (12) Skyscraper – looks great and after Jumanji, all hail The Rock
10. (8) Ocean’s 8 – the movies ahead of it look stronger
11. (10) Mamma Mia 2 – not so sure anymore
12. (11) Alita – good luck to every team that has it
13. (13) Predator – part of me says, if Alien only made $74 million, this can’t beat it
14. (15) Equalizer 2
15. (16) The Nun – wouldn’t surprise me if it ended at $100 million
16. (21) Purge 4 – never underestimate the Purge
17. (14) Christopher Robin – sounds a little too much like Paddington 3
18. (18) Teen Titans
19. (17) The Spy Who Dumped Me – needs to be a hit
20. (19) Nasty Women – but this is the competition
21. (22) Life of the Party – looks great
22. (20) Uncle Drew – will be very interesting to see the marketing push from the NBA in June
23. (24) Tag
24. (23) The Meg – Statham v. a 50-foot shark, yup I’m excited, should’ve come out in July
25. (-) I Feel Pretty – let’s give Amy another shot
Dropping Out: Barbie (moved to 2020).

Fall
1. (2) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2 – the Harry Potter prequel takes over top spot
2. (1) Wreck it Ralph – I think $200 million is assured, not sure about $250.
3. (3) Aquaman
4. (5) Mary Poppins Returns – while it’s not the same movie, the box office could be similar to Jumanji for families
5. (4) X-Men: Dark Phoenix
6. (6) Venom
7. (7) Grinch – $100 million seems assured, just not sure how much more than that.
8. (8) Bumblebee
9. (9) Nutcracker
10. (10) Mortal Engines
11. (12) Holmes & Watson – the move to Christmas won’t hurt its box office
12. (11) Smallfoot
13. (16) Creed 2 – fighting Drago’s son, Michael B. Jordan is hot right now!
14. (13) Into the Spider-Man Universe
15. (14) Night School
16. (15) Robin Hood
17. (21) Mowgli  
18. (20) A Star is Born
19. (18) House with Clocks on the Wall
20. (17) First Man – becoming increasingly worried about this for some reason
21. (19) The Women of Marwen – it’s about a man and his dolls?
22. (22) Overlord
23. (-) Bad Times at the El Royale – love the cast  
24. (19) Goosebumps 2
25. (-) Halloween – lots of horror competition, but it has the pedigree  
Dropping Out: Girl in the Spider Web (the movies ahead of it look stronger); Bohemian Rhapsody (ugh)