2018 Rankings

by The Commish on Friday, November 17, 2017

Every month we rank the top 75 movies by season.  The box office year is a moving target, so make sure to read this column every month to find out how your movies rank, and what movies you should be targeting on the waiver wire.

Winter/Spring
1. Black Panther – the entire office is super excited about Marvel’s newest superhero.  Draft this one with confidence and while we aren’t putting it in competition with the top 4 of the summer, a final result of $300+ million shouldn’t surprise anyone.
2. A Wrinkle in Time – a new rule that is coming into play for the box office year is, don’t bet against Disney in March. 
3. Ready Player One – do you realize it will be almost 10 years since Spielberg’s last $100 million non-President-based movie, draft with caution.
4. New Mutants – another Marvel movie, another box office winner, hopefully this is the shot in the are that the X-Men needed.
5. Peter Rabbit – looks fun and has a super cast.
6. Rampage – trailer is out and this looks like lots of fun.
7. 50 Shades Freed – looks like a $100 million movie to me.
8. Tomb Raider – seems a little rushed, but let’s hope for the best.
9. Pacific Rim 2 – hopefully it builds on the first one.
10. Red Sparrow – I’m staying away from this one.
11. Cloverfield 3 – this one looks like a winner!
12. 15:37 to Paris – do NOT overlook this movie.
13. Maze Runner 3 – it’s been too long, but should still flirt with $70 million.
14. Paddington 2 – now that it has a distributer, should do nicely.
15. Blockers – should be raunchy and super fun.
16. Insidious 4 – horror franchise is worth a late round flier.
17. Annihilation – love the premise, hopefully it lives up to expectations.
18. Alpha – every couple of years there’s a prehistoric movie… and they usually fail.
19. Sherlock Gnomes – this could become a surprise hit.
20. Acrimony – Tyler Perry, enough said.
21. Paul, Apostle – Easter, Christian, winner!
22. Action Point – I have a feeling this will be on most of my teams this year.
23. Game Night – first trailer was good, but definitely had a Fist Fight feel.
24. Winchester – horror movie with a twist, I’m very interested.
25. Den of Thieves – I can’t quit you Gerard!

Summer
1. Avengers 3 – this is probably the number 1 movie for 2018 and I can’t see a reason to not draft it as such.
2. Jurassic World – we expect a down turn for JW2, so expect a final around $500 million, still outstanding.
3. Solo – next summer is crazy loaded.  We have a Star Wars movie at number 3!
4. Incredibles 2 – Pixar’s summer release could perform like TS3.
5. Deadpool 2 – probably the riskiest overspend of the year in 2018.
6. Ant Man 2 – tough to bet against Marvel.
7. Mission Impossible 6 – could possibly be picked up ‘cheaply’ with all the other movies next summer.
8. Ocean’s 8 – I expect this to have a superb run.
9. Hotel Transylvania 3 – should be an excellent pick-up
10. Mamma Mia 2 – sure it’s been years since the last one, but there’s something about it that screams huge.
11. Alita – could be the break-out hit of the summer.
12. Skyscraper – hoping for a remake of Towering Inferno.
13. Predator – another attempt to rebook the franchise.
14. Equalizer 2 – could be that late summer hit.
15. Christopher Robin – or this could be that late summer hit.
16. Teen Titans – kids love it, but I’ve got a little Emojitis.
17. The Spy Who Dumped Me – needs to be picked up, but not a sure thing.
18. Barbie – not sure if it gets released in time.
19. Nasty Women – could be just what the audiences ordered come next August.
20. A Star is Born – shouldn’t this have come out years ago with this cast.  Hoping for the best.
21. Purge 4 – every Purge movie has bettered the last.
22. Uncle Drew – should get tons of press next NBA playoffs.
23. Happytime Murders – very intrigued.
24. Tag – love the premise.
25. The Meg – years in the making, should be able to build on the recent low-budget shark phenomenon.

Fall
1. Wreck it Ralph – if you want to own one movie next fall, we’re betting this is it.
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2 – Harry’s world alert.
3. Aquaman – just not sure of the DC universe direction.
4. Mary Poppins Returns – yes
5. X-Men: Dark Phoenix – wary of the X-Men franchise.
6. Venom – not sure if this is a hit.
7. Grinch – quietly could be the biggest movie next Fall.
8. Bumblebee – oh great another Transformers movie.
9. Nutcracker – in a pinch, take the Christmas movie.
10. Smallfoot – could come out of nowhere and finish in the top 5.
11. Animated Spider-Man – not sure.
12. Holmes & Watson – comedy…
13. Mortal Engines – someone will outbid you, but worth an opening auction.
14. Night School – looking forward to this one.
15. Robin Hood – every 10 years they try and re-boot this franchise, good luck this time.
16. House with Clocks on the Wall – sure
17. Creed 2 – should preform
18. First Man – another animated movie.
19. Girl in the Spider Web – I’m staying away from this one.
20. Overlord – this one I’m big on.
21. Goosebumps 2 – with no Jack Black?
22. Jungle Book Origins – pass.
23. Widows – not sure.
24. The Women of Marwen – could be a decent hit next Thanksgiving.
25. The Kid Who Would be King – well something had to be 25.